Cerro Largo
2 - 1
River Plate

Fernandez (17'), Borges (19')
Cayetano (82'), Bentancur (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Arezo (40')
Viera (14'), Rodriguez (33'), Vicente (73'), Ospitaleche (90+1'), (90+3')
Rodriguez (57'), Piriz (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	River Plate
38.14%	28.48%	33.38%

Both teams to score 46.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.86%

60.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.65%

80.35%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51%

30.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.3%

66.7%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44%

33.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8%

70.2%

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 38.14%

River Plate 33.38%

Draw 28.48%

Cerro Largo	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 12.15% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.14%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.48%	0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.38%