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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Oct 23, 2020 at 10.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
2 - 1
Torque

May (16'), Borges (62')
Brasil (33'), Aguerre (41'), Pereira (59'), Gomez (79'), Santiago Barone Grillo (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Scotto (48')
Pizzichillo (23'), Brun (49'), Arismendi (76')
Arismendi (84')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawMontevideo City Torque
36.72%27.55%35.72%
Both teams to score 49.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.45%56.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.46%77.53%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4%65.6%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81%30.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65%66.34%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 36.72%
    Montevideo City Torque 35.72%
    Draw 27.54%
Cerro LargoDrawMontevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 7.94%
2-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36.72%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 6.4%
1-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 35.72%


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