Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.