Defensor
2 - 0
Cerro Largo

Gonzalez (13'), Mendez (46')
Ernesto Ocampo Ornizun (36'), Gonzalez (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dorrego (45+1'), Heredia (54')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Cerro Largo
41.74%	25.57%	32.69%

Both teams to score 54.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.1%

48.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.01%

70.99%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73%

23.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8%

57.2%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66%

28.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92%

64.08%

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 41.74%

Cerro Largo 32.69%

Draw 25.57%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.69%