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Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 17, 2020 at 7pm UK
Parque Cincuentenario Juan Gaspar Prandi
CL

Plaza Colonia
0 - 3
Cerro Largo


Cruz Mascia (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pereira (53'), May (69', 87')
Rodriguez (33')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Plaza ColoniaDrawCerro Largo
29.91%28.15%41.95%
Both teams to score 46.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.22%59.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.93%80.07%
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11%35.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.67%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88%28.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2%63.8%
Score Analysis
    Plaza Colonia 29.91%
    Cerro Largo 41.94%
    Draw 28.14%
Plaza ColoniaDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 6.72%
2-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 29.91%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 12.8%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 8.12%
1-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 41.94%


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