Torque
1 - 2
Progreso

Rak (56')
Brun (36'), Del Prete (50'), Rak (65'), Allende (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gottesman (16'), Peraza (83')
Asconeguy (39'), Gottesman (43'), Sosa (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Progreso
32.99%	26.07%	40.94%

Both teams to score 53.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.05%

50.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.18%

72.82%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84%

29.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.9%

65.1%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42%

24.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93%

59.07%

Score Analysis

Montevideo City Torque 32.99%

Progreso 40.93%

Draw 26.07%

Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.99%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.93%