SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 45.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
25.45% ( -1.2) | 28.93% ( 1.57) | 45.62% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 41.53% ( -4.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.8% ( -5.73) | 64.2% ( 5.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.67% ( -4.27) | 83.32% ( 4.27) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% ( -4.3) | 42.1% ( 4.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.47% ( -3.95) | 78.52% ( 3.94) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -2.87) | 28.27% ( 2.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.01% ( -3.77) | 63.99% ( 3.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.6)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.36)Other @ 1.14% Total : 25.44% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 11.9% ( 2.3)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.71)Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.92% | 0-1 @ 15.03% ( 1.87) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.48)1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.55)0-3 @ 4% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.55)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.45)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.28)Other @ 1.56% Total : 45.62% |
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