SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
43.45% ( 0.65) | 27.87% ( 0.18) | 28.68% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.72% ( -0.96) | 59.27% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.32% ( -0.75) | 79.68% ( 0.75) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.11) | 27.07% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( -0.14) | 62.44% ( 0.14) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% ( -1.17) | 36.58% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% ( -1.2) | 73.36% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.86% Total : 28.68% |
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