SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerrito |
51.4% ( 0.03) | 25.68% ( 0.01) | 22.92% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.68% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.92% ( -0.05) | 55.07% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.67% ( -0.04) | 76.33% ( 0.04) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( -0.01) | 21.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% ( -0.01) | 54.5% ( 0.01) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.72% ( -0.06) | 39.28% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.01% ( -0.05) | 75.99% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerrito |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.92% |
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