SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo City Torque in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
36.43% ( -0.24) | 27.3% ( -0.1) | 36.27% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 49.98% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.46% ( 0.41) | 55.54% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% ( 0.34) | 76.71% ( -0.33) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( 0.05) | 29.25% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( 0.07) | 65.21% ( -0.06) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( 0.41) | 29.35% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( 0.5) | 65.33% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.27% |
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