Liverpool
3 - 2
Cerro

Pereira (25'), Romero (90'), Ignacio Ramirez (90+1')
Ocampo (63'), Candido (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Paiva (30'), Cabrera (55' pen.)
Caceres (20'), Filgueira (90+5'), (90+7'), (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Cerro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Cerro
44.76%	26.47%	28.76%

Both teams to score 50.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.9%

54.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47%

75.52%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93%

24.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.65%

58.34%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26%

33.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.6%

70.4%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 44.76%

Cerro 28.77%

Draw 26.46%

Liverpool	Draw	Cerro
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.76%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.77%