Liverpool
1 - 3
Nacional

Escobar (64')
Figueredo (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bergessio (4', 17'), Rodriguez (65')
Vinicius (11'), Corujo (62'), Rodriguez (73'), Mejia (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Nacional
31.29%	26.26%	42.45%

Both teams to score 52.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.76%

52.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06%

73.94%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.06%

30.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.76%

67.24%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62%

24.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21%

58.79%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 31.29%

Nacional 42.44%

Draw 26.26%

Liverpool	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.29%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.44%