Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.