Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.