SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 28.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
41.68% ( 0.51) | 30.31% ( 0.03) | 28.01% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 39.75% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.83% ( -0.23) | 67.17% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.62% ( -0.16) | 85.38% ( 0.16) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( 0.18) | 31.96% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% ( 0.2) | 68.41% ( -0.2) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.43% ( -0.59) | 41.57% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.94% ( -0.52) | 78.06% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 15.15% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.3% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.21% Total : 28% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
