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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
40.64% ( 0.26) | 27.99% ( -0.07) | 31.37% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.2% ( 0.22) | 58.8% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.69% ( 0.17) | 79.31% ( -0.17) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0.25) | 28.37% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( 0.32) | 64.12% ( -0.32) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( -0.02) | 34.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% ( -0.02) | 70.98% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.73% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.37% |
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