SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Fenix |
35.9% ( -0.32) | 28.62% ( -0.08) | 35.47% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 45.95% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.48% ( 0.29) | 60.51% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.37% ( 0.22) | 80.63% ( -0.21) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.06) | 32.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( -0.07) | 68.55% ( 0.07) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( 0.41) | 32.35% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% ( 0.46) | 68.86% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.61% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.47% |
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