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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
P

Wanderers
0 - 2
Penarol


Rolon (4'), Alejandro Acosta Fernandez (17'), Silveira (17'), Garcia (34'), Lima (90+2')
Garcia (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Batista (10'), Fernandez (18')
Perez (25')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Progreso 0-0 Wanderers
Sunday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Liverpool
Saturday, November 9 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawPenarol
26.29% (-0.128 -0.13) 27.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 46.63% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.33% (0.043999999999997 0.04)57.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04)78.43% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.33% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)37.67% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.55% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)74.45% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (0.096999999999994 0.1)24.74% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (0.136 0.14)59.29% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 26.29%
    Penarol 46.63%
    Draw 27.07%
Montevideo WanderersDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.2% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.29%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 13.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.09% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.23% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Progreso 0-0 Wanderers
Sunday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Defensor
Monday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Fenix
Monday, October 21 at 1am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Wanderers
Tuesday, October 15 at 6pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, October 13 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 3-2 Wanderers
Saturday, October 5 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Liverpool
Saturday, November 9 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Penarol
Sunday, November 3 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, October 31 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 5-0 Penarol
Thursday, October 24 at 1.45am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Boston River
Saturday, October 19 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Penarol
Wednesday, October 16 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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