SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Miramar Misiones win it was 0-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Danubio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
47.56% ( 0.15) | 28.38% ( -0.05) | 24.06% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 41.77% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.69% ( 0.1) | 63.31% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.31% ( 0.07) | 82.69% ( -0.08) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( 0.13) | 26.85% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( 0.16) | 62.16% ( -0.16) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.11% ( -0.04) | 42.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.8% ( -0.03) | 79.19% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
| 1-0 @ 15.14% 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 47.56% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.36% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.06% Total : 24.06% |
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