SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Montevideo City Torque in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 29.2% | 26% | 44.81% |
| Both teams to score 52.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% | 52.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% | 73.76% |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% | 32.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.17% | 68.83% |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% | 23.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.99% | 57.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 8.01% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.8% |
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