Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.