Progreso
1 - 4
Torque

Alles (32')
Ramis (23'), Bentaberry (33'), Ferreira (36'), Arias (64')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Cejas (18', 65'), Allende (30' pen.), Alejandro Perez Etchelar (85')
Brun (38'), Alvarez (40'), Guruceaga (42'), Cejas (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 54.8%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Progreso win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
22.71%	22.49%	54.8%

Both teams to score 57.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.86%

42.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.46%

64.54%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72%

32.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22%

68.77%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7%

15.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.98%

44.02%

Score Analysis

Progreso 22.71%

Montevideo City Torque 54.8%

Draw 22.48%

Progreso	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
2-1 @ 5.93% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.16% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.52% Total : 22.71%	1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 9.84% 0-1 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 8.7% 1-3 @ 6.16% 0-3 @ 5.45% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.89% 0-4 @ 2.56% 2-4 @ 1.64% 1-5 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.77% Total : 54.8%