Maldonado
1 - 3
Wanderers

Casas (19')
Cardozo (3'), Nunez (8'), Bogliacino (89'), Bogliacino (89')
Cardozo (66')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Mendez (6' pen., 11' pen.), Abero (45')
Mathias Tellechea (66'), Izquierdo (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
28.24%	26.13%	45.62%

Both teams to score 51.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.95%

53.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37%

74.63%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.41%

33.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.77%

70.22%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8%

23.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.91%

57.09%

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 28.24%

Montevideo Wanderers 45.62%

Draw 26.13%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.5% 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.24%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-2 @ 8.32% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.62%