Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
