Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.