Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
