Nacional
1 - 0
Sud America

Bergessio (61')
Fernandez (30'), Candido (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Triunfo (32'), Mouche (36'), Lewis (39'), Pereyra (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Sud America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Sud America win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Sud America
40.97%	27.7%	31.33%

Both teams to score 47.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.24%

57.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.5%

78.5%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31%

27.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75%

63.25%

Sud America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24%

33.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58%

70.42%

Score Analysis

Nacional 40.97%

Sud America 31.33%

Draw 27.69%

Nacional	Draw	Sud America
1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.97%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.33%