Progreso
1 - 3
Nacional

Fernandez (59')
Ramis (21'), Alles (33'), Asconeguy (43'), Paiva (87')
Rojo (68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bergessio (37'), Fernandez (41'), Trezza (87')
Bergessio (33'), Candido (51'), Ocampo (60'), Corujo (74'), Garcia (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Nacional
29.03%	27.85%	43.12%

Both teams to score 46.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.94%

59.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49%

79.51%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.82%

36.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.04%

72.96%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86%

27.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.46%

62.54%

Score Analysis

Progreso 29.04%

Nacional 43.11%

Draw 27.85%

Progreso	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 6.62% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.93% Total : 29.04%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 12.8% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 8.35% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.89% Total : 43.11%