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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Bergessio (73'), Ocampo (84')
Neves (63'), Bergessio (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Quintana (60'), Mac Allister (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Nacional win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawArgentinos Juniors
36.13%24.93%38.93%
Both teams to score 57.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.59%45.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26%67.74%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37%24.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86%59.13%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86%23.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99%57%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 36.13%
    Argentinos Juniors 38.93%
    Draw 24.93%
NacionalDrawArgentinos Juniors
2-1 @ 8.19%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.98%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-1 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.93%

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