Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Nacional win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
