Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.