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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
0 - 0
Nacional


Candelo (33'), Banguero (39'), Mosquera (46'), Barrera (63'), Perea (89')
FT

Laborda (40'), Piriz (59'), Trasante (62'), Bergessio (63'), Ocampo (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawNacional
53.73%23.56%22.72%
Both teams to score 53.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17%46.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91%69.09%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65%17.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.25%47.75%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.13%34.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39%71.61%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 53.73%
    Nacional 22.72%
    Draw 23.55%
Atletico NacionalDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 5.42%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.72%

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