Nacional
4 - 4
Atletico Nacional

Bergessio (12', 51', 64'), Fernandez (45+4')
Martinez (17'), Cantera (90+4')
Corujo (42')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Barrera (8', 85'), Andrade (45+2'), Orihuela (74' og.)
Mosquera (44'), Duque (57'), Banguero (71'), Castro (90+3')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Nacional and Atletico Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Atletico Nacional
46.29%	23.37%	30.34%

Both teams to score 61.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.15%

39.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.79%

62.2%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47%

17.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.95%

48.04%

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61%

25.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81%

60.19%

Score Analysis

Nacional 46.29%

Atletico Nacional 30.34%

Draw 23.37%

Nacional	Draw	Atletico Nacional
2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.93% Total : 46.29%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 7.28% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.34%