Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.
Result | ||
Progreso | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
41.9% (![]() | 27.96% (![]() | 30.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.93% (![]() | 59.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.47% (![]() | 79.53% (![]() |
Progreso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% (![]() | 27.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.6% (![]() | 63.39% (![]() |
Rampla Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.66% (![]() | 35.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.9% (![]() | 72.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Progreso | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
1-0 @ 12.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 41.9% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.83% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 10.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.13% |
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