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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Mar 27, 2024 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
4 - 2
Rampla

Lopez (21', 55'), Madruga (27' og.), Colman (50')
Silva (37'), Poiso (44'), Garcia (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Anasco (5'), Leites (65')
Anasco (15'), Rosa (66')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Rampla Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Progreso
Saturday, March 23 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 1-1 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, March 23 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawRampla Juniors
41.9% (0.393 0.39) 27.96% (0.023 0.02) 30.13% (-0.414 -0.41)
Both teams to score 46.68% (-0.229 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.93% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)59.07% (0.21 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.47% (-0.162 -0.16)79.53% (0.164 0.16)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (0.11699999999999 0.12)27.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (0.148 0.15)63.39% (-0.148 -0.15)
Rampla Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.66% (-0.422 -0.42)35.34% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.9% (-0.442 -0.44)72.1% (0.444 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 41.9%
    Rampla Juniors 30.13%
    Draw 27.96%
ProgresoDrawRampla Juniors
1-0 @ 12.57% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.115 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 41.9%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 30.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Progreso
Saturday, March 23 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 4-3 Racing
Sunday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 2-3 Progreso
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 2-3 Progreso
Saturday, February 17 at 10.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, December 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 0-0 Penarol
Thursday, November 25 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 1-1 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, March 23 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Rampla
Monday, March 11 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 0-3 Penarol
Sunday, March 3 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 2-1 Fenix
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 4-3 Rampla
Thursday, November 28 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 2-2 River Plate
Friday, November 22 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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