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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
4 - 3
Racing

Lopez (42', 74'), Lemmo (61', 88')
Poiso (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pereira (4'), Alaniz (52' pen.), Sosa (90+3')
Pereira (30')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro 2-3 Progreso
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawRacing de Montevideo
37.8% (0.64 0.64) 27.38% (-0.136 -0.14) 34.82% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 49.64% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07% (0.491 0.49)55.93% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (0.399 0.4)77.03% (-0.398 -0.4)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (0.61799999999999 0.62)28.62% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (0.767 0.77)64.43% (-0.767 -0.77)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)30.45% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)66.66% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 37.8%
    Racing de Montevideo 34.82%
    Draw 27.37%
ProgresoDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 10.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 37.8%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 34.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerro 2-3 Progreso
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 2-3 Progreso
Saturday, February 17 at 10.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, December 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 0-0 Penarol
Thursday, November 25 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rentistas 0-1 Progreso
Sunday, November 21 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 3-1 Wanderers
Monday, November 15 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Cerro Largo
Thursday, March 7 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Defensor
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Racing
Friday, February 23 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-2 Liverpool
Sunday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Cerro
Thursday, December 7 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Saturday, December 2 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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