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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Casto Martínez Laguarda

Torque
1 - 0
Progreso

Guerrero (15')
Pereyra (26'), Rodriguez (68'), Milesi (68'), Alvarez (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(31'), (74'), (88'), (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 52.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 23.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo City Torque in this match.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawProgreso
52.06%24.87%23.07%
Both teams to score 50.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.14%51.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38%73.62%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09%19.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96%52.03%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.65%37.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87%74.12%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 52.05%
    Progreso 23.07%
    Draw 24.86%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.32%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 23.07%

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