SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Boston River |
29.88% ( 0.06) | 29.81% ( 0) | 40.32% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 41.73% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.84% ( 0.01) | 65.16% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16% ( 0.01) | 84% ( -0) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.12% ( 0.05) | 38.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.39% ( 0.05) | 75.61% ( -0.05) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( -0.03) | 31.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.86% ( -0.04) | 68.14% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 12.33% 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 14.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 40.32% |
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