SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
35.63% ( 1.34) | 27.99% ( 0.17) | 36.39% ( -1.52) |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.8% ( -0.57) | 58.2% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% ( -0.45) | 78.85% ( 0.44) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 0.58) | 31.08% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( 0.67) | 67.4% ( -0.67) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( -1.21) | 30.6% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( -1.45) | 66.83% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.39% |
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