SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | River Plate |
43.41% ( 0.2) | 27.61% ( -0.05) | 28.98% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.78% ( 0.13) | 58.22% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.13% ( 0.1) | 78.86% ( -0.11) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( 0.16) | 26.6% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( 0.22) | 61.83% ( -0.22) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.23% ( -0.04) | 35.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.46% ( -0.04) | 72.54% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 28.98% |
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