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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
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River Plate
0 - 1
Penarol


Alfonso (7'), Fernandez (28'), Almeida (45+1'), Olivera (62'), Galletto (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silvera (68')
Fernandez (28'), Olivera (32'), Milans (55')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Progreso 2-0 River Plate
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, October 31 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawPenarol
21.22% (0.989 0.99) 23.59% (0.537 0.54) 55.19% (-1.527 -1.53)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.215 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-1.017 -1.02)48.64% (1.013 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (-0.93 -0.93)70.75% (0.928 0.93)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.427 0.43)37.32% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (0.418 0.42)74.1% (-0.42 -0.42)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (-0.911 -0.91)17.48% (0.909 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (-1.611 -1.61)47.97% (1.609 1.61)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 21.22%
    Penarol 55.18%
    Draw 23.58%
River PlateDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 6.43% (0.336 0.34)
2-1 @ 5.53% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.17% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 21.22%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 9.92% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 5.77% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Progreso 2-0 River Plate
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Defensor
Thursday, October 17 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, October 13 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Liverpool
Friday, October 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 4-3 Fenix
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 3-1 River Plate
Sunday, September 22 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, October 31 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 5-0 Penarol
Thursday, October 24 at 1.45am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Boston River
Saturday, October 19 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Penarol
Wednesday, October 16 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Maldonado
Friday, October 11 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Penarol
Sunday, October 6 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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