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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
1 - 0
River Plate

Assis (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrios (61'), Irrazabal (78'), Damian Perez Medina (82'), Salaberry (83'), Olivera (90+8')
Barrios (75'), Camarda (90+10')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston River 3-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, November 3 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Penarol
Sunday, November 3 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 27.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Largo in this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawRiver Plate
42.88% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 29.16% (0.244 0.24) 27.96% (-0.345 -0.34)
Both teams to score 42.5% (-0.794 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.21% (-0.896 -0.9)63.78% (0.895 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.97% (-0.647 -0.65)83.03% (0.645 0.64)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (-0.387 -0.39)29.55% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (-0.473 -0.47)65.57% (0.47199999999999 0.47)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33% (-0.792 -0.79)39.66% (0.79199999999999 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65% (-0.741 -0.74)76.34% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 42.87%
    River Plate 27.95%
    Draw 29.15%
Cerro LargoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 14.28% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 42.87%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.72% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 10.83% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 27.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Boston River 3-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, November 3 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Danubio
Sunday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-0 Maldonado
Thursday, October 17 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-1 Nacional
Sunday, October 13 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 3-1 Cerro
Saturday, September 28 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Penarol
Sunday, November 3 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 2-0 River Plate
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Defensor
Thursday, October 17 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, October 13 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Liverpool
Friday, October 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 4-3 Fenix
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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