SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Sud America win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sud America | Draw | Boston River |
| 32.14% | 27.91% | 39.96% |
| Both teams to score 47.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% | 58.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% | 78.94% |
| Sud America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% | 33.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.89% | 70.11% |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% | 28.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.69% | 64.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sud America | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.96% |
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