Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Sud America win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.