Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sud America win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sud America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sud America would win this match.