Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sud America win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
