SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sud America had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Sud America win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sud America | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 22.56% | 25.06% | 52.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.92% | 53.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% | 74.66% |
| Sud America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% | 38.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.74% | 75.26% |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% | 20.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.41% | 52.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sud America | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 7.44% 2-1 @ 5.67% 2-0 @ 3.55% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.56% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 12.45% 0-2 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-3 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 5.05% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-4 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.65% Total : 52.38% |
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