Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sud America had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Sud America win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
