River Plate
5 - 1
Sud America

Garcia (27'), Leites (47' pen.), Affonso (83')
Rodriguez (29'), (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mouche (39')
Toma (20'), Rodriguez (47'), Baran (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Sud America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Sud America win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Sud America
40.55%	25.83%	33.62%

Both teams to score 54.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21%

49.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.2%

71.8%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74%

24.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.38%

58.62%

Sud America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81%

28.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.11%

63.89%

Score Analysis

River Plate 40.55%

Sud America 33.62%

Draw 25.83%

River Plate	Draw	Sud America
1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.55%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.62%