Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.