Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Sud America win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.