Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Cerrito.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
