Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.