Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 36.24%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Sud America win was 1-0 (12.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.