Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.