River Plate
3 - 2
Progreso

Rodriguez (2'), Gonzalez (45+1'), Alonso (90' pen.)
Salaberry (11'), Rodriguez (40'), Muscarelli (74'), Galletto (88'), Machado Solari (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fernandez (81'), Marta (90+3')
Fernandez (20'), Viega (38'), Alejandro Gallardo Gonzalez (39'), Andrada (45+2'), Marta (87'), Andres Sanchez Islas (89')

Data Analysis

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Progreso
36.61%	26.09%	37.3%

Both teams to score 53.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45%

50.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53%

72.47%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.24%

26.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.97%

62.03%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64%

26.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49%

61.51%

Score Analysis

River Plate 36.61%

Progreso 37.3%

Draw 26.08%

River Plate	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.61%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 6.27% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.3%